← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Chilowicz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 62% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.50 |
| Crawley Town win | 17% | 6.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Crawley Town −1 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Josh Sheehan · Bolton |
| 50' | ⚽ | Rushian Hepburn-Murphy · Crawley Town |
| 52' | ⚽ | Jordi Osei-Tutu · Bolton |
| 54' | ⚽ | Will Swan · Crawley Town |
| 61' | 🟨 | Ben Radcliffe · Crawley Town |
| 62' | ⚽ | Rushian Hepburn-Murphy · Crawley Town |
| 68' | ⚽ | Alex Murphy · Bolton |
| 72' | 🟨 | Charlie Barker · Crawley Town |
| 84' | 🟨 | Rory Feely · Crawley Town |
| 85' | ⚽ | Josh Sheehan · Bolton |
| 89' | 🟨 | Rory Feely |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| 89' | 🟥 | Rory Feely · Crawley Town |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tola Showunmi · Crawley Town |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Charlie Barker · Bolton |
| coach days | 38.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1558.17 | 1455.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.74 | -7.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | — |
| league points | 44.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |