← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 8, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 41% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
| Stevenage win | 28% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Charlton −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | ⚽ | Matt Godden · Charlton |
| 48' | ⚽ | Luke Berry · Charlton |
| 83' | 🟨 | Charlie Goode · Stevenage |
| 84' | 🟨 | Luke Berry · Charlton |
| 85' | 🟨 | Lewis Freestone · Stevenage |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days | 373.00 | 313.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1548.40 | 1571.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.53 | 28.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.60 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.78 |
| league points | 44.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |