← EFL League One 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 7, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Duckworth
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.82 |
| Northampton win | 21% | 4.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Mansfield −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Aaron Lewis · Mansfield |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jordan Rhodes · Mansfield |
| 55' | ⚽ | Cameron McGeehan · Northampton |
| 81' | 🟨 | Liam Shaw · Northampton |
| 85' | 🟨 | Hiram Boateng · Mansfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ben Perry · Northampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mansfield | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | One Call Stadium |
| coach days | 1559.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.25 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1575.81 | 1500.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.41 | 6.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -1.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| league points | 37.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 62.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | -1.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |