← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Mulligan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Lincoln win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Wigan win | 33% | 3.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Wigan +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over | 32% | 3.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Jovon Makama · Lincoln |
| 31' | 🟨 | James Collins · Lincoln |
| 36' | ⚽ | Jonny Smith · Wigan |
| 44' | 🟨 | Scott Smith · Wigan |
| 45' | 🟨 | Harry McHugh · Wigan |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jensen Weir · Wigan |
| 77' | 🟨 | Sam Tickle · Wigan |
| 88' | ⚽ | James Collins · Lincoln |
| 89' | 🟨 | Toby Sibbick · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | The Brick Community Stadium |
| coach days | 762.00 | 458.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1508.89 | 1546.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.55 | -5.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.75 |
| league points | 33.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |