← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rock
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Shrewsbury win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Shrewsbury +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Will Evans · Mansfield |
| 34' | 🟥 | Toto Nsiala · Shrewsbury |
| 37' | 🟨 | Aaron Pierre · Shrewsbury |
| 54' | ⚽ | John Marquis · Shrewsbury |
| 59' | 🟨 | Baily Cargill · Mansfield |
| 63' | ⚽ | George Lloyd · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 21 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.82 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 92.00 | 1553.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 3.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1496.54 | 1586.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.58 | -19.15 |
| eye test v1 | -1.76 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 20.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 33.20 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -3.07 | -1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.36 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |