← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Howard
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Crawley Town win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town +0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Wrexham +0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Matty James · Wrexham |
| 44' | 🟨 | Panutche Camará · Crawley Town |
| 49' | 🟨 | Eoghan O'Connell · Wrexham |
| 90' | ⚽ | Bradley Ibrahim · Crawley Town |
| 90' | ⚽ | Elliot Lee · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crawley Town | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Broadfield Stadium |
| coach days | 123.00 | 1311.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1462.22 | 1635.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.79 | -35.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 24.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |