← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Hallam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.03 |
| Rotherham win | 15% | 6.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham −1 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Birmingham −1 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Hakeem Odofin · Rotherham |
| 44' | ⚽ | Sam Nombe · Rotherham |
| 54' | ⚽ | Jay Stansfield · Birmingham |
| 73' | 🟨 | Cameron Humphreys · Rotherham |
| 80' | 🟨 | Dillon Phillips · Rotherham |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Jay Stansfield · Birmingham |
| 86' | 🟨 | Alfie May · Birmingham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Grant Hanley · Birmingham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park |
| coach days | 245.00 | 306.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1663.65 | 1563.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.89 | 16.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 60.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 2.31 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.96 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | -1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |