← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: O. Yates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Exeter win | 19% | 5.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter −0.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Stevenage −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Eli King · Stevenage |
| 2' | ⚽ (pen) | Josh Magennis · Exeter |
| 11' | ⚽ | Eli King · Stevenage |
| 17' | ⚽ | Jordan Roberts · Stevenage |
| 24' | 🟨 | Nick Freeman · Stevenage |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jamie Reid · Stevenage |
| 76' | ⚽ | Daniel Kemp · Stevenage |
| 80' | ⚽ | Jordan Roberts · Stevenage |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cheick Diabaté · Exeter |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Exeter |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 306.00 | 854.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.66 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1559.24 | 1514.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.94 | -50.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.00 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.50 |
| league points | 37.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.41 | -1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 1.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |