β EFL League One 2024-25 Β· Tue, Jan 28, 07:45 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Drysdale
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 46% | 2.08 |
| Barnsley win | 27% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley β0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Wycombe β0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | π¨ | Luke Leahy Β· Wycombe |
| 10' | β½ | Jon Russell Β· Barnsley |
| 50' | π¨ | Tyreeq Bakinson Β· Wycombe |
| 59' | π¨ | Corey O'Keeffe Β· Barnsley |
| 62' | π¨ | Ben Killip Β· Barnsley |
| 65' | β½ (pen) | Richard Kone Β· Wycombe |
| 66' | π₯ | Marc Roberts Β· Barnsley |
| 75' | π¨ | Stephen Humphrys Β· Barnsley |
| 90' | π¨ | Beryly Lubala Β· Wycombe |
| 90' | π¨ | Luca Connell Β· Barnsley |
| 90' | β½ | Richard Kone |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 27.00 | 302.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1670.57 | 1547.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.15 | 11.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 55.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 2.04 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |