← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Jan 28, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Duckworth
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 65% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 |
| Shrewsbury win | 13% | 8.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport −1 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Shrewsbury −1 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Funso Ojo · Shrewsbury |
| 37' | ⚽ | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
| 74' | 🟨 | Ibou Touray · Stockport |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ethan Pye · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟨 | Toto Nsiala · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 3 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days | 1184.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1645.06 | 1501.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.50 | 1.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.71 | -1.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.72 |
| league points | 44.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 54.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 35.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -3.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 1.80 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | -1.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |