← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Jan 28, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.75 |
| Crawley Town win | 15% | 6.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town −1.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Mansfield −1.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Charlie Barker · Crawley Town |
| 77' | 🟨 | Baily Cargill · Mansfield |
| 81' | ⚽ | Ade Adeyemo · Crawley Town |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ben Radcliffe · Crawley Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mansfield | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | One Call Stadium |
| coach days | 1549.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1602.19 | 1446.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.29 | -20.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| league points | 37.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 0.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.03 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |