← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Jan 28, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: R. Ricardo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 44% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Exeter win | 27% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Exeter +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Azeem Abdulai · Leyton Orient |
| 7' | ⚽ | Azeem Abdulai · Leyton Orient |
| 14' | ⚽ | Sean Clare · Leyton Orient |
| 26' | 🟨 | Ethan Galbraith · Leyton Orient |
| 34' | ⚽ | Dilan Markanday · Leyton Orient |
| 47' | ⚽ | Millenic Alli · Exeter |
| 52' | 🟨 | Omar Beckles · Leyton Orient |
| 56' | ⚽ | Millenic Alli · Exeter |
| 60' | 🟨 | Josh Keeley · Leyton Orient |
| 64' | ⚽ | Azeem Abdulai · Leyton Orient |
| 78' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 4 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | St James Park |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brandon Cooper · Leyton Orient |
| coach days | 850.00 | 1064.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1531.38 | 1626.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.05 | 29.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.91 |
| league points | 32.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.87 | 0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.26 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |