← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Bourne
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 66% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.67 |
| Crawley Town win | 14% | 7.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town −1.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Stockport −1.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Will Collar · Stockport |
| 34' | ⚽ | Macauley Southam · Stockport |
| 49' | 🟨 | Ben Radcliffe · Crawley Town |
| 51' | 🟨 | Bradley Ibrahim · Crawley Town |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ade Adeyemo · Crawley Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days | 1181.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1639.22 | 1452.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.98 | -22.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.60 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 41.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |