← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 54% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Reading win | 21% | 4.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Leyton Orient −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Dilan Markanday · Leyton Orient |
| 34' | 🟨 | Michael Craig · Reading |
| 43' | 🟨 | Sam Smith · Reading |
| 51' | ⚽ | Charlie Kelman · Leyton Orient |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jamie Donley · Leyton Orient |
| 84' | 🟨 | Charlie Kelman · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 3 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Gaughan Group Stadium |
| coach days | 1061.00 | 55.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1617.90 | 1515.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.59 | 31.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.75 |
| league points | 38.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | -1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | 1.03 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |