← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Exeter win | 31% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Blackpool +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Sonny Carey · Blackpool |
| 33' | ⚽ | CJ Hamilton · Blackpool |
| 43' | ⚽ | Tom Bloxham · Blackpool |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 79' | 🟨 | Harry Tyrer · Blackpool |
| 82' | ⚽ | Millenic Alli · Exeter |
| 86' | 🟨 | Ilmari Niskanen · Exeter |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | St James Park |
| coach days | 847.00 | 146.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1548.48 | 1559.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.64 | -2.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| league points | 32.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |