← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Reeves
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham win | 45% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Burton win | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burton +0.5 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Rotherham +0.5 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Louie Sibley · Rotherham |
| 8' | ⚽ | Jón Daði Böðvarsson · Burton |
| 27' | 🟨 | John Joshua Mckiernan · Burton |
| 39' | ⚽ | Ryan Sweeney · Burton |
| 41' | ⚽ | Jón Daði Böðvarsson · Burton |
| 47' | ⚽ | John Joshua Mckiernan · Burton |
| 61' | ⚽ | Andre Green · Rotherham |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jack Armer · Burton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burton | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Pirelli Stadium |
| coach days | 55.00 | 299.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1502.91 | 1573.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.09 | 39.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.80 |
| league points | 18.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 62.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.49 | -1.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| state index | -0.31 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | -1.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |