← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Parsons
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Cambridge win | 27% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cambridge +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Michael Morrison · Cambridge |
| 7' | ⚽ (pen) | Josh Stokes · Cambridge |
| 45' | 🟨 | Elliott Hewitt · Mansfield |
| 47' | ⚽ | Ryan Loft · Cambridge |
| 61' | ⚽ | George Maris · Mansfield |
| 72' | 🟨 | Paul Digby · Cambridge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jack Stevens · Cambridge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Frazer Blake-Tracy · Mansfield |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Lee Gregory · Mansfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cambridge | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Cledara Abbey Stadium |
| coach days | 330.00 | 1546.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1452.43 | 1615.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.78 | 16.26 |
| eye test v1 | -1.02 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 18.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.60 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.45 | -1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.98 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | -1.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |