← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Jan 21, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Miles
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Charlton win | 29% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Charlton −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Alex Mitchell · Charlton |
| 34' | 🟨 | Greg Docherty · Charlton |
| 45' | 🟨 | George Thomason · Bolton |
| 55' | ⚽ | Joel Randall · Bolton |
| 71' | ⚽ | Lloyd Jones · Charlton |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jordi Osei-Tutu · Bolton |
| 74' | 🟨 | Thierry Small · Charlton |
| 86' | ⚽ | Karoy Anderson · Charlton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jay Matete · Bolton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tyreece Campbell · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days | 20.00 | 355.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1559.24 | 1513.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.88 | 35.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 65.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 38.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.22 | -1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.06 | -0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 290.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |