← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Miles
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Wigan win | 24% | 4.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Wigan −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.41 |
| Over | 32% | 2.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Will Goodwin · Wigan |
| 14' | 🟨 | Scott Smith · Wigan |
| 35' | 🟨 | Carl Piergianni · Stevenage |
| 37' | 🟨 | Toby Sibbick · Wigan |
| 54' | 🟨 | Louis Thompson · Stevenage |
| 55' | ⚽ | Dale Taylor · Wigan |
| 73' | 🟥 | Jensen Weir · Wigan |
| 83' | ⚽ | Daniel Kemp · Stevenage |
| 90' | 🟨 | Louis Thompson · Stevenage |
| 90' | 🟥 | Louis Thompson · Stevenage |
| 90' | ⚽ | Thelo Aasgaard · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 292.00 | 748.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1545.20 | 1503.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.89 | 12.07 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.20 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.71 |
| league points | 31.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |