← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Drysdale
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 36% | 2.66 |
| Rotherham win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Rotherham +0 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Andre Green · Rotherham |
| 14' | ⚽ | Alex MacDonald · Rotherham |
| 45' | 🟨 | Conor Coventry · Charlton |
| 45' | ⚽ | Miles Leaburn · Charlton |
| 45' | ⚽ | Zak Jules · Rotherham |
| 53' | ⚽ | Mallik Wilks · Rotherham |
| 72' | 🟨 | Cohen Bramall · Rotherham |
| 79' | 🟨 | Mallik Wilks · Rotherham |
| 90' | ⚽ | Matt Godden · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days | 292.00 | 352.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1562.36 | 1523.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.16 | 47.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.68 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 67.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| league points | 31.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.39 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.34 | 0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |