← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Brook
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 |
| Reading win | 25% | 4.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport +0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Reading +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Isaac Olaofe · Stockport |
| 13' | ⚽ | Callum Connolly · Stockport |
| 45' | 🟨 | Andre Garcia · Reading |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ethan Pye · Stockport |
| 48' | 🟨 | Charlie Savage · Reading |
| 57' | 🟨 | Callum Connolly · Stockport |
| 61' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Reading |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jack Diamond · Stockport |
| 88' | 🟨 | Sam Smith · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
| 1 | On target | 11 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 5 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 48.00 | 1174.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1528.70 | 1625.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.57 | -21.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 41.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.64 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |