← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 67% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.94 |
| Cambridge win | 13% | 7.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton −1.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Cambridge −1.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Josh Stokes · Cambridge |
| 34' | ⚽ | John McAtee · Bolton |
| 35' | 🟨 | Aaron Collins · Bolton |
| 36' | ⚽ | Elias Kachunga · Cambridge |
| 40' | 🟨 | Elias Kachunga · Cambridge |
| 43' | 🟨 | John McAtee · Bolton |
| 68' | 🟨 | Danny Andrew · Cambridge |
| 78' | 🟨 | Josh Sheehan · Bolton |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Zeno Ibsen Rossi · Bolton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days | 17.00 | 323.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1563.91 | 1447.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.48 | -64.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.57 |
| league points | 37.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 14.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | -1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.06 | -1.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |