← EFL League One 2024-25 · Thu, Jan 16, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Mather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Shrewsbury win | 21% | 4.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Shrewsbury +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | John Marquis · Shrewsbury |
| 23' | ⚽ | Steven Fletcher · Wrexham |
| 45' | 🟨 | Morgan Feeney · Shrewsbury |
| 48' | ⚽ | John Marquis · Shrewsbury |
| 57' | 🟨 | Leo Castledine · Shrewsbury |
| 65' | 🟨 | George Lloyd · Shrewsbury |
| 75' | 🟨 | Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham |
| 84' | 🟨 | Luca Hoole · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | 🟨 | James McClean · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 76.00 | 1295.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1496.06 | 1664.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.26 | 1.79 |
| eye test v1 | -1.19 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| league points | 17.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 12.21 | 12.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.66 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.16 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.36 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |