← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rock
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.16 |
| Peterboro win | 21% | 4.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Peterboro −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Fernandez · Peterboro |
| 53' | 🟨 | Bradley Ihionvien · Peterboro |
| 87' | ⚽ | Steven Fletcher · Wrexham |
| 88' | 🟨 | Steven Fletcher · Wrexham |
| 90' | 🟨 | George Dobson · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | STōK Cae Ras |
| coach days | 1283.00 | 734.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 4.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1659.57 | 1526.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.81 | -35.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.96 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| league points | 48.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |