← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Durkin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 44% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
| Mansfield win | 28% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Mansfield −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Lee Gregory · Mansfield |
| 20' | ⚽ | Will Collar · Stockport |
| 39' | ⚽ | Will Evans · Mansfield |
| 44' | 🟨 | Adedeji Oshilaja · Mansfield |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lee Gregory · Mansfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days | 1160.00 | 1525.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1638.21 | 1613.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.78 | 20.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.64 | 0.74 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| league points | 38.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |