← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 62% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.67 |
| Crawley Town win | 17% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley −1 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Crawley Town −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.54 |
| Under | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Jon Russell · Barnsley |
| 45' | 🟨 | Georgie Gent · Barnsley |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tyreece John-Jules · Crawley Town |
| 51' | ⚽ | Max Watters · Barnsley |
| 54' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 64' | 🟨 | Conor McCarthy · Barnsley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sam Cosgrove · Barnsley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charlie Barker · Crawley Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 4 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 278.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1564.76 | 1463.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.61 | -6.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| league points | 39.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |