← EFL League One 2024-25 · Wed, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Simpson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.58 |
| Exeter win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −1 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Exeter −1 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.74 |
| Under | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Vincent Harper · Exeter |
| 39' | 🟨 | Josh Magennis · Exeter |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ryan Woods · Exeter |
| 66' | ⚽ | Luke Leahy · Wycombe |
| 77' | 🟨 | Tristan Crama · Exeter |
| 86' | ⚽ | Tristan Crama · Exeter |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Aaron Morley · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Exeter |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 0.00 | 823.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 3.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1680.72 | 1570.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.63 | -4.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.89 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.20 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.60 |
| league points | 47.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.62 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |