← EFL League One 2024-25 · Wed, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Miles
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Reading win | 32% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cambridge −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Harvey Knibbs · Reading |
| 48' | ⚽ | Elias Kachunga · Cambridge |
| 53' | ⚽ | Harvey Knibbs · Reading |
| 71' | 🟨 | James Brophy · Cambridge |
| 81' | 🟨 | Louie Holzman · Reading |
| 83' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lewis Wing · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cambridge | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Cledara Abbey Stadium |
| coach days | 306.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1474.25 | 1511.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.51 | 4.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 17.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.80 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.77 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.55 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |