← EFL League One 2024-25 · Wed, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Corlett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Burton win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Burton +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.64 |
| Under | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Kgagelo Chauke · Burton |
| 26' | ⚽ | Rumarn Burrell · Burton |
| 42' | ⚽ | Archie Collins · Peterboro |
| 77' | 🟨 | Max Crocombe · Burton |
| 77' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Fernandez · Peterboro |
| 78' | 🟨 | Dylan Williams · Burton |
| 80' | 🟨 | Chris Conn-Clarke · Peterboro |
| 87' | 🟨 | Tomas Kalinauskas · Burton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 11 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burton | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Pirelli Stadium |
| coach days |
| 31.00 |
| 731.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 3.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1502.82 | 1525.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.25 | -45.87 |
| eye test v1 | -1.66 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 2.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.66 |
| league points | 13.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 33.40 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.59 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.60 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.62 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.87 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | 1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |