← EFL League One 2024-25 · Wed, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Herczeg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Shrewsbury win | 16% | 6.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Blackpool −1 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Jordan Rossiter · Shrewsbury |
| 59' | 🟨 | Malvind Benning · Shrewsbury |
| 61' | ⚽ | Robert Apter · Blackpool |
| 80' | ⚽ | Tom Bloxham · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan Shipley · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 122.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1559.73 | 1498.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.05 | -16.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.50 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| league points | 28.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 59.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | -1.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |