← EFL League One 2024-25 · Wed, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Wrexham win | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Wrexham −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 24' | ⚽ | Adam Phillips · Barnsley |
| 80' | ⚽ | Max Cleworth · Wrexham |
| 82' | 🟨 | Conor McCarthy · Barnsley |
| 87' | 🟨 | Corey O'Keeffe · Barnsley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ben Killip · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 275.00 | 1280.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1553.10 | 1671.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.93 | 10.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| league points | 36.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 2.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.00 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |