← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Wigan win | 21% | 4.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Wigan −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Babajide Adeeko · Wigan |
| 60' | ⚽ | Ryan Barnett · Wrexham |
| 61' | 🟨 | Ryan Barnett · Wrexham |
| 77' | 🟨 | Will Aimson · Wigan |
| 79' | ⚽ | Joe Hugill · Wigan |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jensen Weir · Wigan |
| 90' | 🟨 | James McClean · Wrexham |
| 90' | ⚽ | Steven Fletcher · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | STōK Cae Ras |
| coach days | 1277.00 | 728.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1666.49 | 1523.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.39 | 7.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 49.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 45.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.85 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |