← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Stockbridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Northampton win | 24% | 4.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Shrewsbury −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Timothy Eyoma · Northampton |
| 40' | 🟨 | Taylor Perry · Shrewsbury |
| 60' | ⚽ | Aaron Pierre · Shrewsbury |
| 63' | ⚽ | Cameron McGeehan · Northampton |
| 86' | 🟨 | Joshua Kayode · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aaron Pierre · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days |
| 58.00 |
| 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1500.06 | 1491.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.85 | -62.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -1.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.50 |
| league points | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.95 | -1.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| state index | -0.58 | -1.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |