← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Woods
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Reading win | 30% | 3.28 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Reading +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Mamadi Camara · Reading |
| 45' | ⚽ | Will Evans · Mansfield |
| 54' | 🟨 | Will Evans · Mansfield |
| 55' | ⚽ | Tyler Bindon · Reading |
| 78' | 🟨 | Amadou Salif Mbengue · Reading |
| 83' | 🟨 | Stephen McLaughlin · Mansfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jayden Wareham · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 0 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 28.00 | 1519.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 3.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1499.38 | 1617.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.50 | -4.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.62 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 34.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |