← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Chilowicz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 42% | 2.25 |
| Peterboro win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Barnsley +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Donovan Pines · Barnsley |
| 47' | ⚽ | Donovan Pines · Barnsley |
| 55' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 74' | ⚽ (pen) | Malik Mothersille · Peterboro |
| 81' | 🟥 | Harley Mills · Peterboro |
| 86' | ⚽ | Jon Russell · Barnsley |
| 88' | 🟨 | Corey O'Keeffe · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 728.00 | 272.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1543.71 | 1535.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.68 | -10.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| league points | 24.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.37 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |