← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 68% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.85 |
| Burton win | 11% | 8.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield −1.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Burton −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Charlie Webster · Burton |
| 38' | 🟨 | David Kasumu · Huddersfield |
| 71' | 🟨 | Max Crocombe · Burton |
| 73' | 🟨 | Terence Vancooten · Burton |
| 88' | ⚽ | Michał Helik · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Terence Vancooten · Burton |
| 90' | 🟥 | Terence Vancooten · Burton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 27 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 17 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Burton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | John Smith's Stadium |
| coach days | 242.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1547.21 | 1499.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 56.87 | -9.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -1.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.76 |
| league points | 42.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 63.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 33.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 6.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -2.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 25.36 | — |
| state index | 0.90 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |