← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Rotherham win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham +0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Stockport +0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Louie Barry · Stockport |
| 19' | ⚽ | Hakeem Odofin · Rotherham |
| 35' | 🟨 | Zak Jules · Rotherham |
| 38' | 🟨 | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
| 39' | 🟨 | Hakeem Odofin · Rotherham |
| 40' | 🟨 | Callum Connolly · Stockport |
| 41' | 🟨 | Jonson Clarke-Harris · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days | 272.00 | 1154.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1533.51 | 1641.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.69 | -23.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.79 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| league points | 23.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.11 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.00 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |