← EFL League One 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Howard
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Stevenage win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage +0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Wycombe +0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Richard Kone · Wycombe |
| 43' | ⚽ | Richard Kone · Wycombe |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniel Phillips · Stevenage |
| 66' | ⚽ | Beryly Lubala · Wycombe |
| 75' | 🟨 | Daniel Kemp · Stevenage |
| 77' | 🟨 | Elliott List · Stevenage |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 269.00 | 694.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.93 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1542.67 | 1680.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.04 | 7.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| league points | 26.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 2.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.47 | 0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |