← EFL League One 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Miles
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Peterboro win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro +0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Mansfield +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Baily Cargill · Mansfield |
| 9' | ⚽ | Will Evans · Mansfield |
| 31' | ⚽ | Will Evans · Mansfield |
| 53' | 🟨 | Frazer Blake-Tracy · Mansfield |
| 55' | 🟨 | Stephen McLaughlin · Mansfield |
| 64' | 🟨 | Elliott Hewitt · Mansfield |
| 66' | 🟨 | Aaron Lewis · Mansfield |
| 79' | 🟨 | Oscar Wallin · Peterboro |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jadel Katongo · Peterboro |
| 86' | 🟥 | George Nevett · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 6 | Shots | 23 |
| 2 | On target | 11 |
| 1 | Corners | 14 |
| 8 | Fouls | 25 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 725.00 | 1516.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.67 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1562.40 | 1598.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.92 | -30.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -1.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| league points | 24.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | -1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.98 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |