← EFL League One 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Barnsley win | 28% | 3.47 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bolton −0.5 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Klaidi Lolos · Bolton |
| 42' | 🟨 | Conor McCarthy · Barnsley |
| 58' | 🟨 | Klaidi Lolos · Bolton |
| 75' | 🟨 | Randell Williams · Bolton |
| 75' | 🟨 | George Thomason · Bolton |
| 76' | 🟨 | Barry Cotter · Barnsley |
| 80' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 85' | 🟨 | Kelechi Nwakali · Barnsley |
| 89' | ⚽ | Adam Phillips · Barnsley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dion Charles · Bolton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vimal Yoganathan · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days | 1639.00 | 269.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.18 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1571.40 | 1522.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.72 | -26.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| league points | 31.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.18 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |