← EFL League One 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Purkiss
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 |
| Crawley Town win | 17% | 5.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town −1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Leyton Orient −1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Joseph Wollacott · Crawley Town |
| 33' | ⚽ | Charlie Kelman · Leyton Orient |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jack Roles · Crawley Town |
| 50' | ⚽ | Daniel Agyei · Leyton Orient |
| 55' | ⚽ | Omar Beckles · Leyton Orient |
| 74' | 🟨 | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 76' | 🟨 | Darren Pratley · Leyton Orient |
| 76' | 🟨 | Panutche Camará · Crawley Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Gaughan Group Stadium |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 1031.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 4.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1587.31 | 1467.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.44 | 13.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.62 |
| league points | 25.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.80 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 4.92 | 2.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.32 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.84 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |