← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Parsons
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Shrewsbury win | 18% | 5.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Wigan −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Dale Taylor · Wigan |
| 27' | 🟨 | Tommi O'Reilly · Shrewsbury |
| 36' | 🟨 | Dale Taylor · Wigan |
| 53' | ⚽ | Dale Taylor · Wigan |
| 67' | ⚽ (og) | Will Aimson · Shrewsbury |
| 79' | 🟨 | Matthew Smith · Wigan |
| 82' | 🟨 | Babajide Adeeko · Wigan |
| 84' | 🟨 | George Lloyd · Shrewsbury |
| 87' | ⚽ | George Lloyd · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Hoole · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Brick Community Stadium |
| coach days | 720.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.31 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1512.91 | 1486.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.26 | -41.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.00 | 65.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.56 |
| league points | 23.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 57.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 0.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -2.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |