← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
| Northampton win | 23% | 4.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton +0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Northampton +0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Greg Docherty · Charlton |
| 12' | ⚽ | Tyreece Campbell · Charlton |
| 36' | 🟨 | Cameron McGeehan · Northampton |
| 36' | ⚽ | Miles Leaburn · Charlton |
| 41' | 🟨 | Greg Docherty · Charlton |
| 50' | 🟨 | Alex Mitchell · Charlton |
| 60' | 🟨 | Ashley Maynard Brewer · Charlton |
| 68' | ⚽ | Greg Docherty · Charlton |
| 73' | 🟨 | Tyler Roberts · Northampton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Danny Hylton · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 5 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days | 20.00 | 324.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1533.82 | 1477.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.32 | -1.90 |
| eye test v1 | -1.21 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.30 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| league points | 21.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.51 | -1.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |