← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Baines
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Leyton Orient win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Barnsley −0.25 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Jamie Donley · Leyton Orient |
| 20' | 🟨 | Jack Currie · Leyton Orient |
| 28' | ⚽ | Omar Beckles · Leyton Orient |
| 51' | ⚽ | Charlie Kelman · Leyton Orient |
| 84' | 🟨 | Darren Pratley · Leyton Orient |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sonny Perkins · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 2 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 264.00 | 1026.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1542.83 | 1566.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.75 | 7.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.75 |
| league points | 30.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | -1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |