β EFL League One 2024-25 Β· Fri, Dec 20, 07:45 PM UTC Β· ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.68 |
| Peterboro win | 17% | 5.72 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport β1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Peterboro β1 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under | 37% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | β½ | Odin Bailey Β· Stockport |
| 17' | π¨ | Oscar Wallin Β· Peterboro |
| 34' | β½ | Joel Randall Β· Peterboro |
| 44' | π¨ | Hector Kyprianou Β· Peterboro |
| 55' | π¨ | Lewis Bate Β· Stockport |
| 59' | π¨ | Odin Bailey Β· Stockport |
| 62' | π¨ | Malik Mothersille Β· Peterboro |
| 75' | β½ | Isaac Olaofe Β· Stockport |
| 76' | π¨ | Emmanuel Fernandez Β· Peterboro |
| 90' | π¨ | Kyle Wootton Β· Stockport |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days | 1145.00 | 719.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1646.98 | 1568.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.67 | -18.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.91 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.11 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.67 |
| league points | 33.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 59.80 |
| rest days | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| state index | 0.73 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |