← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 62% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Cambridge win | 15% | 6.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Cambridge −1 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Elliot Lee · Wrexham |
| 20' | ⚽ | Elias Kachunga · Cambridge |
| 27' | ⚽ | James McClean · Wrexham |
| 41' | 🟨 | James McClean · Wrexham |
| 44' | 🟨 | Elias Kachunga · Cambridge |
| 65' | ⚽ | Steven Fletcher · Wrexham |
| 88' | 🟨 | Lewis Brunt · Wrexham |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Dan N'Lundulu · Cambridge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Korey Smith · Cambridge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | STōK Cae Ras |
| coach days | 1262.00 | 288.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1668.39 | 1506.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.73 | 4.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| league points | 40.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 60.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 37.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -2.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.93 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -1.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |