← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Chilowicz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Stevenage win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage +0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Stockport +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Daniel Kemp · Stevenage |
| 26' | ⚽ | Callum Camps · Stockport |
| 40' | 🟨 | Callum Camps · Stockport |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jordan Roberts · Stevenage |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nathan Thompson · Stevenage |
| 55' | ⚽ (pen) | Jamie Reid · Stevenage |
| 60' | 🟨 | Lewis Bate · Stockport |
| 62' | 🟨 | Dan Butler · Stevenage |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ben Hinchliffe · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 257.00 | 1139.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.50 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.72 |
| elo | 1528.30 | 1658.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.51 | 30.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.96 | 1.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| league points | 22.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 10.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.80 |
| state index | -0.16 | 1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | -0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |