← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Coy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 |
| Shrewsbury win | 19% | 5.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe +0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Shrewsbury +0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Beryly Lubala · Wycombe |
| 34' | 🟨 | Daniel Harvie · Wycombe |
| 35' | 🟨 | Beryly Lubala · Wycombe |
| 45' | ⚽ | Caleb Taylor · Wycombe |
| 66' | 🟨 | Daniel Udoh · Wycombe |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jordan Rossiter · Shrewsbury |
| 69' | ⚽ | Fred Onyedinma · Wycombe |
| 72' | ⚽ | Jordan Shipley · Shrewsbury |
| 73' | 🟨 | Jasper Pattenden · Wycombe |
| 74' | ⚽ | Daniel Udoh · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 43.00 | 682.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1498.74 | 1673.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -47.99 | 17.08 |
| eye test v1 | -1.10 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | -0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 11.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.61 | 2.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.99 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.86 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |