← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Northampton win | 19% | 5.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Northampton −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Jonson Clarke-Harris · Rotherham |
| 34' | ⚽ | Jonson Clarke-Harris · Rotherham |
| 44' | 🟨 | Sam Hoskins · Northampton |
| 49' | ⚽ | Andre Green · Rotherham |
| 54' | 🟨 | Joe Powell · Rotherham |
| 72' | 🟨 | Martyn Waghorn · Northampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days |
| 257.00 |
| 13.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1538.43 | 1548.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.61 | -17.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | -0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| league points | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 10.80 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.59 | -1.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |