← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Backhouse
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Blackpool win | 31% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Reading −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.64 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Albie Morgan · Blackpool |
| 37' | ⚽ | Robert Apter · Blackpool |
| 44' | 🟨 | Amadou Salif Mbengue · Reading |
| 55' | 🟨 | Sam Smith · Reading |
| 58' | 🟨 | Andre Garcia · Reading |
| 72' | ⚽ | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 13.00 | 104.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1511.99 | 1545.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.41 | 10.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.99 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| league points | 31.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.58 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 299.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |